I’VE never been more worried about Israel’s future.
The crumbling of key pillars of Israel’s security — the peace with Egypt, the stability of Syria and the friendship
of Turkey and Jordan — coupled with the most diplomatically inept and strategically incompetent government in Israel’s
history have put Israel in a very dangerous situation.
Josh Haner/The New York Times
Thomas L. Friedman
This has also left the U.S. government fed up with Israel’s
leadership but a hostage to its ineptitude, because the powerful pro-Israel lobby in an election season can force the administration
to defend Israel at the U.N., even when it knows Israel is pursuing policies not in its own interest or America’s.
Israel is not responsible for the toppling of President Hosni Mubarak of Egypt
or for the uprising in Syria or for Turkey’s decision to seek regional leadership by cynically trashing Israel or for
the fracturing of the Palestinian national movement between the West Bank and Gaza. What Israel’s prime minister, Bibi
Netanyahu, is responsible for is failing to put forth a strategy to respond to all of these in a way that protects Israel’s
long-term interests.
O.K., Mr. Netanyahu has a strategy: Do nothing vis-à-vis the Palestinians
or Turkey that will require him to go against his base, compromise his ideology or antagonize his key coalition partner, Foreign
Minister Avigdor Lieberman, an extreme right-winger. Then, call on the U.S. to stop Iran’s nuclear program and help
Israel out of every pickle, but make sure that President Obama can’t ask for anything in return — like halting
Israeli settlements — by mobilizing Republicans in Congress to box in Obama and by encouraging Jewish leaders to suggest
that Obama is hostile to Israel and is losing the Jewish vote. And meanwhile, get the Israel lobby to hammer anyone in the
administration or Congress who says aloud that maybe Bibi has made some mistakes, not just Barack. There, who says Mr. Netanyahu
doesn’t have a strategy?
“The years-long diplomatic effort to integrate Israel as an accepted
neighbor in the Middle East collapsed this week, with the expulsion of the Israeli ambassadors from Ankara and Cairo, and
the rushed evacuation of the embassy staff from Amman,” wrote Haaretz newspaper’s Aluf Benn. “The region
is spewing out the Jewish state, which is increasingly shutting itself off behind fortified walls, under a leadership that
refuses any change, movement or reform ... Netanyahu demonstrated utter passivity in the face of the dramatic changes in the
region, and allowed his rivals to seize the initiative and set the agenda.”
What could Israel have done? The Palestinian Authority, which has made concrete
strides in the past five years at building the institutions and security forces of a state in the West Bank — making
life there quieter than ever for Israel — finally said to itself: “Our state-building has not prompted Israel
to halt settlements or engage in steps to separate, so all we’re doing is sustaining Israel’s occupation. Let’s
go to the U.N., get recognized as a state within the 1967 borders and fight Israel that way.” Once this was clear, Israel
should have either put out its own peace plan or tried to shape the U.N. diplomacy with its own resolution that reaffirmed
the right of both the Palestinian and the Jewish people to a state in historic Palestine and reignited negotiations.
Mr. Netanyahu did neither. Now the U.S. is scrambling to defuse the crisis,
so the U.S. does not have to cast a U.N. veto on a Palestinian state, which could be disastrous in an Arab world increasingly
moving toward more popular self-rule.
On Turkey, the Obama team and Mr. Netanyahu’s lawyers worked tirelessly
these last two months to resolve the crisis stemming from the killing by Israeli commandos of Turkish civilians in the May
2010 Turkish aid flotilla that recklessly tried to land in Gaza. Turkey was demanding an apology. According to an exhaustive
article about the talks by the Israeli columnist Nahum Barnea of the Yediot Aharonot newspaper, the two sides agreed that
Israel would apologize only for “operational mistakes” and the Turks would agree to not raise legal claims. Bibi
then undercut his own lawyers and rejected the deal, out of national pride and fear that Mr. Lieberman would use it against
him. So Turkey threw out the Israeli ambassador.
As for Egypt, stability has left the building there and any new Egyptian government
is going to be subjected to more populist pressures on Israel. Some of this is unavoidable, but why not have a strategy to
minimize it by Israel putting a real peace map on the table?
I have great sympathy for Israel’s strategic dilemma and no illusions
about its enemies. But Israel today is giving its friends — and President Obama’s one of them — nothing
to defend it with. Israel can fight with everyone or it can choose not to surrender but to blunt these trends with a peace
overture that fair-minded people would recognize as serious, and thereby reduce its isolation.
Unfortunately, Israel today does not have a leader or a cabinet for such subtle
diplomacy. One can only hope that the Israeli people will recognize this before this government plunges Israel into deeper
global isolation and drags America along with it.
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About the author: Thomas L. Friedman won the 2002 Pulitzer Prize for commentary, his third Pulitzer
for The New York Times. He became the paper's foreign-affairs Op-Ed columnist
in 1995. Previously, he served as chief economic correspondent in the Washington bureau and before that he was the chief White
House correspondent. In 2005, Mr. Friedman was elected as a member of the Pulitzer Prize Board.
Mr. Friedman joined The Times in 1981 and was appointed Beirut bureau chief in 1982. In 1984 Mr. Friedman was transferred
from Beirut to Jerusalem, where he served as Israel bureau chief until 1988. Mr. Friedman was awarded the 1983 Pulitzer Prize
for international reporting (from Lebanon) and the 1988 Pulitzer Prize for international reporting (from Israel).
Mr. Friedman's book, "The World is Flat: A Brief History of the 21st Century," (2005) won the inaugural Goldman Sachs/Financial
Times Business Book of the Year award. In 2004, he was awarded the Overseas Press Club Award for lifetime achievement and
the honorary title, Order of the British Empire (OBE), by Queen Elizabeth II.
His book, "From Beirut to Jerusalem" (1989), won the National Book Award for non-fiction in 1989 and "The Lexus and the
Olive Tree" (2000) won the 2000 Overseas Press Club award for best nonfiction book on foreign policy and has been published
in 27 languages. Mr. Friedman also wrote "Longitudes and Attitudes: The World in the Age of Terrorism" (2002) and the text
accompanying Micha Bar-Am's book, "Israel: A Photobiography." His latest book, "That Used to Be Us: How America Fell Behind
in the World It Invented and How We Can Come Back, " was released in 2011.
Born in Minneapolis on July 20, 1953, Mr. Friedman received a B.A. degree in Mediterranean studies from Brandeis University
in 1975. In 1978 he received a Master of Philosophy degree in Modern Middle East studies from Oxford. Mr. Friedman is married
and has two daughters.